Intrade has 2008 presidential election futures markets for each state (and D.C.) It's early, but I took whichever candidate is currently ahead in each of Intrade's state markets and plugged the "winner" into an electoral college calculator.
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the election.
Using my aforementioned method, here's the total I came up with.
McCain: 232 electoral votes
Obama: 306 electoral votes
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